Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 4.157693 4.456336 4.776311 5.146457 5.565160 6.026877 6.578410
2025-08-31 3.710431 4.128372 4.604962 5.195898 5.919503 6.791394 7.945388
2025-09-07 3.419867 3.898254 4.466715 5.206143 6.165091 7.401701 9.181914
2025-09-14 3.124148 3.617967 4.221021 5.031529 6.126202 7.610204 9.890674
2025-09-21 2.916088 3.421498 4.052963 4.925700 6.147124 7.879712 10.712094
2025-09-28 2.762510 3.278625 3.936595 4.869116 6.217707 8.214794 11.686044
2025-10-05 2.651882 3.181247 3.869077 4.867747 6.359279 8.666341 12.944904
2025-10-12 2.587540 3.138641 3.869056 4.957077 6.639858 9.372792 14.842356
2025-10-19 2.524478 3.092523 3.858930 5.027609 6.895200 10.074547 16.950701
2025-10-26 2.449830 3.025533 3.813814 5.039742 7.054548 10.630351 18.942637
2025-11-02 2.355675 2.926377 3.716238 4.962547 7.054295 10.887135 20.327539
2025-11-09 2.253633 2.811490 3.589594 4.830412 6.945525 10.915590 21.145535
2025-11-16 2.172680 2.725359 3.504047 4.763104 6.953869 11.201659 22.861108
2025-11-23 2.127508 2.688304 3.489214 4.808830 7.171204 11.967978 26.441625
2025-11-30 2.076389 2.640022 3.454329 4.817980 7.320863 12.619213 30.130723
2025-12-07 1.988222 2.534352 3.327126 4.663688 7.142667 12.484861 30.875932
2025-12-14 1.920592 2.456319 3.238864 4.569981 7.073569 12.600504 32.743095
2025-12-21 1.867892 2.398209 3.178524 4.519819 7.084734 12.914624 35.746692
2025-12-28 1.829856 2.360334 3.147769 4.518605 7.193952 13.501602 40.683290
2026-01-04 1.812096 2.351840 3.162417 4.597779 7.477880 14.626128 50.255569
2026-01-11 1.791493 2.338110 3.167782 4.660220 7.733929 15.752961 62.500641
2026-01-18 1.761148 2.308398 3.145881 4.670954 7.877442 16.590836 75.114803
2026-01-25 1.716364 2.255158 3.083541 4.602623 7.834755 16.831072 82.961234